Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MALAGA (SPAIN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 13 October 2023, Friday


	Emilio Nava		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.27
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.51	2.47	Watch
	1.68	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.71)	2.21 ↑ (2.07)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
57.4%

Alejandro Moro Canas
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Emilio Nava - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Nava is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moro Canas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Moro Canas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
12.10.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
10.10.23	Emilio Nava - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
04.10.23	Constant Lestienne - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Emilio Nava - Giulio Zeppieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWL
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
12.10.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
10.10.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
09.10.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:1 ✺
02.10.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWL

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