Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 4 (PORTUGAL), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 May 2023, Monday


	Emilio Nava		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.6	1.47
	2.6	1.52
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.49	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.61)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
36.2%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Facundo Diaz Acosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Emilio Nava - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Diaz Acosta: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Nava is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Diaz Acosta in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Diaz Acosta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Diaz Acosta will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Diaz Acosta to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Roma
09.05.23	Emilio Nava - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
08.05.23	Taro Daniel - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Emilio Nava - Gregoire Barrere	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.04.23	Raphael Collignon - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
19.04.23	Titouan Droguet - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLLW
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
30.04.23	Tristan Boyer - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Patrick Kypson - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
28.04.23	Aziz Dougaz - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
26.04.23	Moez Echargui - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
24.04.23	Oliver Crawford - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

Emilio Nava - Facundo Diaz Acosta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide