Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 26 April 2023, Wednesday


	Emilio Nava		Gregoire Barrere

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.55	1.5
	2.54	1.51
	2.53	1.58
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (1.9)	1.52 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
37.4%

Gregoire Barrere
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emilio Nava's form might have worsened.

Gregoire Barrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gregoire Barrere's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emilio Nava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gregoire Barrere than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gregoire Barrere, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Emilio Nava - Gregoire Barrere Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Barrere will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nava: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Barrere will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
20.04.23	Raphael Collignon - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
19.04.23	Titouan Droguet - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
10.04.23	Emilio Nava - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
22.03.23	Emilio Nava - John Isner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLLW
- Gregoire Barrere
ATP Banja Luka
20.04.23	Dusan Lajovic - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
19.04.23	Hamad Medjedovic - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.23	Gregoire Barrere - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.23	Christopher Eubanks - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Gregoire Barrere - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.01.23	Emilio Nava - Gregoire Barrere	1:2

Emilio Nava - Gregoire Barrere: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide