Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday


	Emilio Nava		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.3	1.6
	2.43	1.58
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	1.98	1.76	Watch
	2.21	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.84)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
42.1%

Francesco Passaro
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emilio Nava's form might have worsened.

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Passaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emilio Nava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Emilio Nava - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Nava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Passaro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Miami
24.03.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
22.03.23	Emilio Nava - John Isner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.23	Richard Gasquet - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
14.03.23	Nathan Ponwith - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
13.03.23	Emilio Nava - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLWW
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Marrakech
06.04.23	Francesco Passaro - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
03.04.23	Aslan Karatsev - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.23	Francesco Passaro - Tung-Lin Wu	Passaro F. retired ✺
06.03.23	Francesco Passaro - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
28.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LW?WL

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