Match Info

Date: 23 March 2022, Wednesday


	Emilio Nava		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	2.3	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.18	1.68	Watch
	2.21	1.62
	2.32	1.68
	2.3	1.61	Watch
	2.3	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.13)	1.64 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
42%

Hugo Gaston
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Emilio Nava - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Gaston will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Nava is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gaston is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
16.03.22	Benoit Paire - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
15.03.22	Emilio Nava - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
14.03.22	Hugo Grenier - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.22	Taro Daniel - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.02.22	Emilio Nava - Gilles Simon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLL
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
16.03.22	Hugo Gaston - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.22	Jeffrey John Wolf - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
17.02.22	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
15.02.22	Hugo Gaston - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.22	Hugo Gaston - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWL

Emilio Nava - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide