Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Hugo Gaston		Moise Kouame

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.69	2.28
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.64	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.61)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
57%

Moise Kouame
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Moise Kouame has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moise Kouame than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Kouame will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 1 - 50%). Kouame (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Gaston (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kouame (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 96. Kouame is ranked ATP: 393.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Kouame may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.35%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
05.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Daniil Glinka	Glinka D. retired ✺
28.02.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Ugo Blanchet - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Mikhail Kukushkin - Hugo Gaston	Gaston H. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 W?LW?
- Moise Kouame
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Moise Kouame - Giulio Zeppieri	Zeppieri G. retired ✺
03.03.26	Jelle Sels - Moise Kouame	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Moise Kouame - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Moise Kouame - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Moise Kouame - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 ?WLLW

Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide