Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: DANDERYD (SWEDEN), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2023, Wednesday


	Hugo Gaston		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.27
	1.66	2.28
	1.67	2.1
	1.6	2.23	Watch
	1.58	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.8)	2.21 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
57.6%

Corentin Moutet
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hugo Gaston's performance.

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corentin Moutet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Gaston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corentin Moutet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Hugo Gaston - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Moutet will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Gaston is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moutet in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gaston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gaston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Metz
07.11.23	Abedallah Shelbayh - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Daniel Altmaier - Hugo Gaston	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
28.10.23	Hugo Gaston - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
27.10.23	Arthur Cazaux - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
25.10.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 L?LWW
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Challenger
12.11.23	Corentin Moutet - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Corentin Moutet - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	Corentin Moutet - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
09.11.23	Antoine Bellier - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
06.11.23	Maxime Cressy - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
15.02.22	Hugo Gaston - Corentin Moutet	2:0

Hugo Gaston - Corentin Moutet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide