Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villa Maria, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Emilio Nava		Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.3	3.15
	1.33	3.5
	1.36	3.00	Watch
	1.34	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.4)	3.3 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
71.5%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emilio Nava's performance.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emilio Nava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Carlos Prado Angelo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Emilio Nava - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nava will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Prado Angelo will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nava (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nava is ranked ATP: 100. Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 273.

Recent performances by Nava have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Prado Angelo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Prado Angelo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nava is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Emilio Nava - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Emilio Nava - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
16.08.25	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Emilio Nava	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWL?L
- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Maximus Jones	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Mateus Alves	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Igor Gimenez	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Lucca Pinto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW

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