Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Emma Lene		Francesca Curmi

	1	2
			Watch
	3.40	1.25
	3.4	1.27
	3.5	1.31
	3.39	1.27	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.27	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.1)	1.3 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emma Lene
28.2%

Francesca Curmi
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emma Lene has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emma Lene than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emma Lene, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesca Curmi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Emma Lene - Francesca Curmi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lene is ranked WTA: 630. Curmi is ranked WTA: 251.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Curmi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Curmi is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Curmi will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lene won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emma Lene
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Laura Hietaranta - Emma Lene	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Emma Lene	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Shannon Lam - Emma Lene	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Liv Boulard - Emma Lene	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Sofia Montesinos - Emma Lene	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWW
- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Carmen Gallardo Guevara - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Francisca Jorge	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Martina Trevisan	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Katerina Tsygourova	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Pia Lovric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.09.24	Francesca Curmi - Emma Lene	2:0

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