Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rovereto (Italy), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 November 2024, Tuesday


	Enrico Dalla Valle		Michael Agwi

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.85	1.35	Watch
	2.84	1.44
	2.68	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.93	1.37	Watch
	2.85	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (1.88)	1.39 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Enrico Dalla Valle
33%

Michael Agwi
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Enrico Dalla Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Enrico Dalla Valle's form might have worsened.

Michael Agwi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michael Agwi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Enrico Dalla Valle than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Enrico Dalla Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Agwi than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michael Agwi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Enrico Dalla Valle - Michael Agwi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dalla Valle will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Agwi will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dalla Valle is ranked ATP: 280. Agwi is ranked ATP: 423.

Dalla Valle is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Agwi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Agwi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Agwi will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Enrico Dalla Valle - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.19%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Enrico Dalla Valle
ITF Tournaments
07.11.24	Sydney Zick - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.10.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL
- Michael Agwi
ATP Challenger
18.11.24	Michael Agwi - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Michael Agwi - Oscar Jose Gutierrez	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Michael Agwi - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.10.24	Jasza Szajrych - Michael Agwi	2:1 ✺
11.10.24	Alex Knaff - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW

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