Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki (Finland) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Michael Agwi		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	2	1.7
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.13	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.24)	1.65 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michael Agwi
43.5%

Dennis Novak
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michael Agwi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Agwi than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Michael Agwi - Dennis Novak Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Agwi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Novak will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Agwi is ranked ATP: 427. Novak is ranked ATP: 376.

Agwi is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Novak is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Dennis Novak - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.71%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michael Agwi
ITF Tournaments
12.10.24	Jasza Szajrych - Michael Agwi	2:1 ✺
11.10.24	Alex Knaff - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Markus Molder - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Kristjan Tamm - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Harry Wendelken - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW
- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
27.10.24	Dennis Novak - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.10.24	Milos Karol - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Dennis Novak - Robin Bertrand	2:1 ✺
25.10.24	Zdenek Kolar - Dennis Novak	1:2 ✺
24.10.24	Daniel Paty - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWW

Michael Agwi - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide