Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 3 (Thailand) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 13 January 2025, Monday


	Enrico Dalla Valle		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
	2.8	1.36
	3	1.34	Watch
	2.88	1.38	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.99	1.36	Watch
	3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (1.84)	1.36 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Enrico Dalla Valle
32%

Murphy Cassone
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Enrico Dalla Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Enrico Dalla Valle's form might have worsened.

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Murphy Cassone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Enrico Dalla Valle than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Enrico Dalla Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murphy Cassone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Enrico Dalla Valle - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dalla Valle is ranked ATP: 275. Cassone is ranked ATP: 335.

Recent matches Dalla Valle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cassone is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dalla Valle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Enrico Dalla Valle - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Murphy Cassone - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Enrico Dalla Valle
ATP Challenger
12.01.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - Credit Chaiyarin	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Jakub Paul - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
07.01.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
02.01.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
31.12.24	Marco Trungelliti - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
12.01.25	Murphy Cassone - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
09.01.25	Rio Noguchi - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
08.01.25	Jakub Paul - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Andre Ilagan - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Murphy Cassone - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWW

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