Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Andre Ilagan		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.83	1.37	Watch
			Watch
	2.96	1.37	Watch
	2.95	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.37)	1.36 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andre Ilagan
31.3%

Murphy Cassone
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andre Ilagan's form might have worsened.

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Murphy Cassone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andre Ilagan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murphy Cassone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Andre Ilagan - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ilagan is ranked ATP: 396. Cassone is ranked ATP: 176.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ilagan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cassone is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilagan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Andre Ilagan - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.23%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Andre Ilagan - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Andre Ilagan - Dominique Rolland	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Benjamin Hassan - Andre Ilagan	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Andre Ilagan - Kaylan Bigun	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Rafael Jodar - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWL
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
02.10.25	Mitchell Krueger - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Moerani Bouzige - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Trevor Svajda - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Philip Sekulic - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.01.25	Andre Ilagan - Murphy Cassone	0:2

Andre Ilagan - Murphy Cassone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide