Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Enrico Dalla Valle		Tommaso Compagnucci

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.21
	1.69	2.31
	1.58	2.22	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.84)	2.24 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Enrico Dalla Valle
58.3%

Tommaso Compagnucci
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Enrico Dalla Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Enrico Dalla Valle's performance.

Tommaso Compagnucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tommaso Compagnucci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Enrico Dalla Valle than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Enrico Dalla Valle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tommaso Compagnucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Enrico Dalla Valle - Tommaso Compagnucci Predictions

Users Predictions: Enrico Dalla Valle will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dalla Valle is ranked ATP: 488. Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 398.

Dalla Valle is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Compagnucci is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dalla Valle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dalla Valle might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Dalla Valle will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Enrico Dalla Valle - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Tommaso Compagnucci - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Enrico Dalla Valle
ATP Challenger
20.05.26	Jacopo Vasami - Enrico Dalla Valle	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Filippo Romano - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
18.05.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Carl Emil Overbeck - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Laurent Lokoli	Dalla Valle E. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWW?
- Tommaso Compagnucci
ATP Challenger
20.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Daniel Bagnolini	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Alessio Balestrieri	2:0
ITF Tournaments
15.05.26	Massimo Giunta - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

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