Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday


	Tommaso Compagnucci		Guido Ivan Justo

	1	2
	2.37	1.52
	2.42	1.61
	2.36	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.27	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.47)	1.55 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommaso Compagnucci
39.6%

Guido Ivan Justo
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommaso Compagnucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Guido Ivan Justo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommaso Compagnucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guido Ivan Justo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tommaso Compagnucci - Guido Ivan Justo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 398. Justo is ranked ATP: 249.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Justo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Justo could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Justo will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Tommaso Compagnucci - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.66%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Guido Ivan Justo - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 62.34%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommaso Compagnucci
ATP Challenger
19.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
18.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Daniel Bagnolini	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Alessio Balestrieri	2:0
ITF Tournaments
15.05.26	Massimo Giunta - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Alessandro Pecci - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
19.05.26	Giovanni Oradini - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
15.05.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	Rodriguez L. J. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWW?

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