Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday


	Tommaso Compagnucci		Li Tu

	1	2
	1.58	2.24
	1.61	2.41
	1.54	2.31	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.7)	2.29 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tommaso Compagnucci
59.3%

Li Tu
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommaso Compagnucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommaso Compagnucci's performance.

Li Tu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Li Tu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommaso Compagnucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Li Tu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Tommaso Compagnucci - Li Tu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Compagnucci will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tu will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 398. Tu is ranked ATP: 351.

Compagnucci is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tu is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Compagnucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommaso Compagnucci
ATP Challenger
18.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Daniel Bagnolini	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Alessio Balestrieri	2:0
ITF Tournaments
15.05.26	Massimo Giunta - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Alessandro Pecci - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Giovanni Oradini - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW
- Li Tu
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Fajing Sun - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Li Tu - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Li Tu - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Keegan Smith - Li Tu	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Li Tu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches