Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto Alegre (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Parada L. (Bra)


	Ergi Kirkin		Daniel Vallejo

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.86	1.44
	2.86	1.44
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.47	1.46	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.36)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
35%

Daniel Vallejo
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ergi Kirkin - Daniel Vallejo Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniel Vallejo will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kirkin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vallejo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
25.04.24	Ergi Kirkin - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
23.04.24	Ergi Kirkin - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Hernan Casanova - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
15.04.24	Leonardo Aboian - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWW
- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
17.04.24	Daniel Vallejo - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Ernesto Escobedo - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Daniel Vallejo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
31.03.24	Enzo Couacaud - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLWW

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