Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Costa do Sauipe, clay - Final

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 3


	Daniel Vallejo		Roman Andres Burruchaga

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.80	1.39	Watch
			Watch
	2.64	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.22)	1.42 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
34.5%

Roman Andres Burruchaga
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Vallejo's form might have worsened.

Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Andres Burruchaga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Vallejo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Andres Burruchaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Daniel Vallejo - Roman Andres Burruchaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 190. Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 128.

Vallejo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Burruchaga is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Burruchaga could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Burruchaga will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vallejo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Christian Garin - Daniel Vallejo	Garin C. retired ✺
25.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Igor Gimenez - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 ?WWWW
- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Zdenek Kolar	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.10.24	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Daniel Vallejo	2:1
02.04.24	Daniel Vallejo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2
20.03.24	Daniel Vallejo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2
08.07.23	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Daniel Vallejo	1:2
ITF Tournaments
05.04.22	Daniel Vallejo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2

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