Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: HAMBURG (GERMANY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday


	Ergi Kirkin		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.38	Watch
	3.05	1.39
	3.05	1.4
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.07	1.35	Watch
	2.85	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.14)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
31.8%

Illya Marchenko
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Illya Marchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Ergi Kirkin - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kirkin will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Marchenko will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kirkin: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kirkin in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Marchenko is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marchenko is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kirkin to win the game is with odds 3.1.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kirkin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ITF Tournaments
10.03.24	Adria Soriano Barrera - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Ergi Kirkin - Giles Hussey	2:1 ✺
08.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
07.03.24	Kazuki Nishiwaki - Ergi Kirkin	0:2 ✺
06.03.24	Albert Pedrico Kravtsov - Ergi Kirkin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
04.03.24	Illya Marchenko - Cem Ilkel	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Illya Marchenko - Yannik Steinegger	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
10.02.24	Flavio Cobolli - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
05.02.24	Tennys Sandgren - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Brandon Holt - Illya Marchenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.08.22	Ergi Kirkin - Illya Marchenko	0:2
11.05.22	Ergi Kirkin - Illya Marchenko	2:1

Ergi Kirkin - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide