Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 3 (Tunisia), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday


	Ergi Kirkin		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	3	1.33
	3.05	1.31
	3.12	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.04	1.34	Watch
	3.05	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.72)	1.32 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
30%

Ryan Peniston
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Ergi Kirkin - Ryan Peniston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kirkin is ranked ATP: 306. Peniston is ranked ATP: 543.

Kirkin in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Peniston is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Peniston could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Peniston will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Peniston to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kirkin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ITF Tournaments
21.11.24	Ergi Kirkin - Admir Kalender	2:0 ✺
20.11.24	Ergi Kirkin - Dali Blanch	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Ergi Kirkin - Lasse Poertner	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Ergi Kirkin - Kenny De Schepper	2:1 ✺
15.11.24	Ergi Kirkin - Mikalai Haliak	Haliak M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWW?
- Ryan Peniston
ITF Tournaments
21.11.24	Jeremy Gschwendtner - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
20.11.24	Pietro Pampanin - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
07.11.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
06.11.24	Ryan Peniston - Erik Grevelius	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Louis Dussin - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.07.21	Ergi Kirkin - Ryan Peniston	0:2

Ergi Kirkin - Ryan Peniston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide