Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Heraklion 3 (Greece), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday


	Oleksii Krutykh		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	2.8	1.36
	2.85	1.35
	2.83	1.39
	2.92	1.36	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.89	1.37	Watch
	2.85	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.44)	1.37 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksii Krutykh
32.5%

Ryan Peniston
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksii Krutykh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksii Krutykh's form might have worsened.

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryan Peniston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksii Krutykh than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oleksii Krutykh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ryan Peniston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Krutykh is ranked ATP: 540. Peniston is ranked ATP: 596.

Recent matches Krutykh is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Peniston in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Krutykh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Peniston will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Peniston to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksii Krutykh
ITF Tournaments
06.11.24	Luka Mikrut - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.10.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
14.10.24	Andrea Picchione - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.10.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- Ryan Peniston
ITF Tournaments
06.11.24	Ryan Peniston - Erik Grevelius	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Louis Dussin - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Orel Kimhi - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
01.11.24	Ryan Peniston - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
31.10.24	Sergey Fomin - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Oleksii Krutykh - Ryan Peniston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide