Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell (Spain), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday


	Eric Vanshelboim		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	2.7	1.4
	2.7	1.4
	2.71	1.41
	2.8	1.4
	2.75	1.4
	2.75	1.41	Watch
	2.8	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↓ (3.18)	1.4 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eric Vanshelboim
33.8%

Lorenzo Giustino
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eric Vanshelboim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eric Vanshelboim than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eric Vanshelboim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Giustino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Vanshelboim is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giustino is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Giustino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Giustino will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Giustino to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eric Vanshelboim
ITF Tournaments
24.04.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Matic Kriznik	Vanshelboim E. retired ✺
18.04.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Aryan Shah	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Manish Sureshkumar	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
30.03.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.24	Svyatoslav Gulin - Eric Vanshelboim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ?WWLL
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
06.04.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	Giustino L. retired ✺
05.04.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Vitaliy Sachko - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Dennis Novak - Lorenzo Giustino	Novak D. retired ✺
01.04.24	Arthur Weber - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 ?WW?W

Eric Vanshelboim - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide