Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Navalon I. (Esp)


	Lorenzo Giustino		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3	1.34
	3.3	1.3	Watch
	3.46	1.34
	3.46	1.34
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.23	1.34	Watch
	3.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.08)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
29.3%

Jesper De Jong
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Lorenzo Giustino - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). De Jong will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Giustino is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

De Jong is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Giustino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match De Jong is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's De Jong to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
03.04.24	Vitaliy Sachko - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Dennis Novak - Lorenzo Giustino	Novak D. retired ✺
01.04.24	Arthur Weber - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
31.03.24	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.03.24	Ignacio Buse - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 W?WWL
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
03.04.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
28.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Andrea Pellegrino	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
26.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WWL?W

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