Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 June 2025, Thursday


	Erik Arutiunian		Moez Echargui

	1	2
			Watch
	3.2	1.28
	3.23	1.31
			Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.2	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.73)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erik Arutiunian
28.9%

Moez Echargui
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erik Arutiunian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erik Arutiunian's form might have worsened.

Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moez Echargui's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erik Arutiunian than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

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Preview

Arutiunian is ranked ATP: 492. Echargui is ranked ATP: 375.

In recent matches, Arutiunian has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Echargui is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Echargui may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Echargui is the team to beat.

We predict that Echargui will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Erik Arutiunian - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.06%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erik Arutiunian
ITF Tournaments
17.06.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Erik Arutiunian	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.05.25	Lilian Marmousez - Erik Arutiunian	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Alexis Gautier - Erik Arutiunian	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Giles Hussey - Erik Arutiunian	Arutiunian E. retired ✺
18.05.25	Erik Arutiunian - Evgenii Tiurnev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLW?W
- Moez Echargui
ITF Tournaments
18.06.25	Andreja Petrovic - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Moez Echargui - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Sasha Rozin - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Erik Arutiunian - Moez Echargui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide