Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Evan Zhu		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	2.43	1.49	Watch
	2.40	1.50
	2.50	1.47	Watch
	2.41	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (1.78)	1.49 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evan Zhu
37.7%

Alibek Kachmazov
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Evan Zhu's form might have worsened.

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alibek Kachmazov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evan Zhu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alibek Kachmazov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Evan Zhu - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhu is ranked ATP: 479., and Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 525..

Zhu has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kachmazov is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Zhu could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Zhu has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Evan Zhu - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Alex Bolt - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Evan Zhu - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Evan Zhu	Vukic A. Retired ✺
28.09.26	Zhiheng Xia - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLW?W
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Yan Lang Chen	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.09.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Kuan-Shou Chen	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Mukund Sasikumar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.05.22	Alibek Kachmazov - Evan Zhu	0:2

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