Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Alex Bolt		Evan Zhu

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.44	2.58	Watch
	1.45	2.8
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	2.61 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Bolt
64.3%

Evan Zhu
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Alex Bolt - Evan Zhu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bolt is ranked ATP: 183., and Zhu is ranked ATP: 502..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Zhu may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bolt is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Bolt has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex Bolt - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.44%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Evan Zhu - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.56%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Bolt
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Alex Bolt - Semen Pankin	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
24.09.26	Fabian Marozsan - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Alex Bolt - Akira Santillan	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Alex Bolt - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Alex Bolt - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWWL
- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Evan Zhu - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Evan Zhu	Vukic A. Retired ✺
28.09.26	Zhiheng Xia - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Evan Zhu - Henry Searle	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Alafia Ayeni - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Alex Bolt - Evan Zhu	2:1
06.05.25	Evan Zhu - Alex Bolt	0:2

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