Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Evan Zhu		Petr Bar-Biryukov

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	3.25	1.33
	5.72	1.12	Watch
	3.29	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (2.99)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evan Zhu
23.5%

Petr Bar-Biryukov
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Evan Zhu's form might have worsened.

Petr Bar-Biryukov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Bar-Biryukov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evan Zhu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Bar-Biryukov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Evan Zhu - Petr Bar Biryukov Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Bar-Biryukov (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bar-Biryukov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhu is ranked ATP: 578. Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 304.

Zhu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bar-Biryukov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zhu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bar-Biryukov is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Alex Bolt - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.09.25	Denis Yevseyev - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Alexandr Binda - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Qian Sun - Evan Zhu	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Evan Zhu - Makoto Ochi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Charles Chen	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Akira Santillan	Bar Biryukov P. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWL?

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