Match Info

Date: 16 May 2022, Monday


	Evan Zhu		Matteo Donati

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.8	1.87
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.77	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.69)	1.91 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evan Zhu
51.4%

Matteo Donati
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Matteo Donati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evan Zhu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Donati than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Donati, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Zhu is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Donati is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Donati could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
15.05.22	Evan Zhu - Roman Konovalov	2:0
11.05.22	Emilio Nava - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
10.05.22	Evan Zhu - Denis Istomin	2:1 ✺
09.05.22	Alibek Kachmazov - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
08.05.22	Petros Tsitsipas - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW
- Matteo Donati
ATP Challenger
15.05.22	Timur Maulenov - Matteo Donati	0:2 ✺
10.05.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Matteo Donati	2:1 ✺
04.05.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Matteo Donati	2:0 ✺
03.05.22	Kaichi Uchida - Matteo Donati	1:2 ✺
02.05.22	Max Purcell - Matteo Donati	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Evan Zhu - Alibek Kachmazov	✺

Evan Zhu - Matteo Donati: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide