Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TIBURON (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Evan Zhu		Nathan Ponwith

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.15
	1.62	2.15
	1.65	2.17
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.84)	2.22 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evan Zhu
58.2%

Nathan Ponwith
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evan Zhu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Evan Zhu's performance.

Nathan Ponwith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nathan Ponwith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Evan Zhu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nathan Ponwith than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nathan Ponwith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Zhu has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ponwith is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ponwith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zhu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zhu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
25.09.23	Evan Zhu - Stefan Dostanic	1:2 ✺
11.09.23	Evan Zhu - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Evan Zhu - Linang Xiao	0:2 ✺
29.08.23	Evan Zhu - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
21.08.23	Luca Castelnuovo - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Nathan Ponwith
ATP Challenger
24.09.23	Pedro Rodenas - Nathan Ponwith	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Preston Stearns - Nathan Ponwith	2:1 ✺
11.09.23	Nathan Ponwith - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
10.09.23	Nathan Ponwith - Ozan Baris	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Gage Brymer - Nathan Ponwith	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.07.19	Evan Zhu - Nathan Ponwith	2:0

Evan Zhu - Nathan Ponwith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide