Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PALMAS DEL MAR (PUERTO RICO) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday


	Evan Zhu		Tristan McCormick

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.5
	1.45	2.71
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.46	Watch
	1.47	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)	2.53 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evan Zhu
63.2%

Tristan McCormick
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evan Zhu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Evan Zhu's performance.

Tristan McCormick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristan McCormick might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Evan Zhu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan McCormick than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tristan McCormick could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Zhu is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches McCormick is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zhu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zhu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
05.06.23	Peter Gojowczyk - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Aidan Kim - Evan Zhu	Kim A. retired ✺
31.05.23	Evan Zhu - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
29.05.23	Evan Zhu - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.05.23	Ernesto Escobedo - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 L?LWL
- Tristan McCormick
ATP Challenger
28.05.23	Tristan McCormick - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.05.23	Blaise Bicknell - Tristan McCormick	2:0 ✺
25.05.23	Elijah Poritzky - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
24.05.23	Ryan Dickerson - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
18.05.23	Tristan McCormick - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.12.21	Evan Zhu - Tristan McCormick	0:2

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