Match Info

Date: 15 June 2022, Wednesday


	Evgeny Karlovskiy		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.95	1.41
	2.95	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.4)	1.39 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Evgeny Karlovskiy
31.8%

Matteo Arnaldi
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evgeny Karlovskiy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evgeny Karlovskiy than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Evgeny Karlovskiy - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Karlovskiy will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlovskiy: 29.6% – 90.4%.

#ad

Preview

Karlovskiy is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arnaldi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arnaldi will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evgeny Karlovskiy
ATP Challenger
14.06.22	Zdenek Kolar - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
13.06.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
12.06.22	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Enzo Wallart	2:0 ✺
08.06.22	Norbert Gombos - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
07.06.22	Mirza Basic - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWLW
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Challenger
13.06.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Enzo Couacaud	2:0 ✺
07.06.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
27.05.22	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
26.05.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
24.05.22	Matteo Arnaldi - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW

Upcoming Matches