Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ANTWERP (BELGIUM), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday


	Fabian Marozsan		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.26	3.7
	1.28	3.6	Watch
	1.27	3.8
	1.31	3.75
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.27	3.76	Watch
	1.26	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.43)	3.75 ↑ (2.83)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
74.6%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fabian Marozsan's performance.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fabian Marozsan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Fabian Marozsan - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Fabian Marozsan will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marozsan is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Varillas Patino-Samudio is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marozsan is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Shanghai
12.10.23	Fabian Marozsan - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
10.10.23	Casper Ruud - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Dusan Lajovic - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
06.10.23	Fabian Marozsan - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
04.10.23	Arthur Rinderknech - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 LWWWW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Astana
28.09.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
21.09.23	Jie Cui - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWW

Fabian Marozsan - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide