Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.5	1.52	Watch
	2.58	1.48
	2.62	1.55
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.72	1.46	Watch
	2.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.35)	1.5 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
36.7%

Sebastian Ofner
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.2%	0%	96.8%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Ofner will win (30 of 31 users predict this - 96.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.55% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ofner will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Varillas Patino-Samudio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Astana
28.09.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Dominic Thiem	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
23.09.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
21.09.23	Jie Cui - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Viktor Durasovic	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWWL
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Astana
02.10.23	Sebastian Ofner - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Dominic Thiem - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Sebastian Ofner - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Marton Fucsovics - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.23	Constant Lestienne - Sebastian Ofner	Ofner S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
26.05.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Ofner	2:1

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide