Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Fabian Marozsan		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.3	Watch
	1.47	2.49	Watch
	1.48	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.47	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.66)	2.5 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
62.6%

Mattia Bellucci
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fabian Marozsan's performance.

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mattia Bellucci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fabian Marozsan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mattia Bellucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Fabian Marozsan - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Bellucci will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fabian Marozsan will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marozsan is ranked ATP: 80. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 71.

Marozsan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bellucci is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marozsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Marozsan will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Zizou Bergs - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
31.03.25	Fabian Marozsan - Damir Dzumhur	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Gael Monfils - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Fabian Marozsan - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Marozsan F. retired ✺
05.03.25	Fabian Marozsan - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 W?L?W
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Cameron Norrie - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
04.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWL

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