Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Fabian Marozsan		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.41	2.95	Watch
	1.42	3.04
	1.46	2.58	Watch
	1.42	2.89	Watch
	1.5	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.35)	2.85 ↓ (2.86)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
66.5%

Stanislas Wawrinka
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Stanislas Wawrinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabian Marozsan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stanislas Wawrinka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Fabian Marozsan - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Marozsan (votes: 4 - 50%). Wawrinka (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Wawrinka (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Marozsan (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Wawrinka (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Marozsan is ranked ATP: 57. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 129.

Now, both players are in good form.

Wawrinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marozsan is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Beijing
29.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Fabian Marozsan - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Fabian Marozsan - Lukas Neumayer	Canceled ✺
13.09.25	Fabian Marozsan - Filip Misolic	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWW??
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Dan Added	Added D. walkover ✺
19.09.25	Martin Landaluce - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Robin Bertrand - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Justin Engel - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 ?WWWL

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