Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes, hard - Final

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Hugo Gaston		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.14	1.69	Watch
			Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
	2.23	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.98)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
44%

Stanislas Wawrinka
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Stanislas Wawrinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Hugo Gaston - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wawrinka: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Wawrinka (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 1 - 50%). Wawrinka (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 128. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 149.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Gaston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Wawrinka will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gaston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
13.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Clement Chidekh	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Eliakim Coulibaly	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Enzo Couacaud	Couacaud E. retired ✺
08.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Christoph Negritu	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Hugo Gaston - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WW?WL
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
13.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Michael Geerts - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Dan Added - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Kenny De Schepper - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
02.10.20	Stanislas Wawrinka - Hugo Gaston	2:3

Hugo Gaston - Stanislas Wawrinka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide