Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Justin Engel		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.16	1.64	Watch
	2.11	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.75)	1.67 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Justin Engel
44.2%

Stanislas Wawrinka
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Justin Engel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Justin Engel's performance.

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stanislas Wawrinka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justin Engel than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Justin Engel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stanislas Wawrinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Justin Engel - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Engel will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Engel: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Engel (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Wawrinka (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Engel is ranked ATP: 219. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 149.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Wawrinka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Justin Engel
ATP Challenger
06.09.25	Billy Harris - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Justin Engel - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Etienne Donnet - Justin Engel	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Jakub Paul - Justin Engel	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Justin Engel - Felix Corwin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWW
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Hugo Gaston - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Michael Geerts - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Dan Added - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Kenny De Schepper - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWW

Justin Engel - Stanislas Wawrinka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide