Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag (Croatia), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 July 2024, Tuesday


	Fabian Marozsan		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.01	1.78	Watch
	2.08	1.84
	2.06	1.8	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.08	1.75	Watch
	2.01	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.18)	1.79 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabian Marozsan
46.7%

Thiago Monteiro
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	0%	42.1%

Fabian Marozsan - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Monteiro will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Monteiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marozsan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Umag
21.07.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
16.07.24	Fabian Marozsan - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Fabian Marozsan	3:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
24.06.24	Dominik Koepfer - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLL?
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Umag
22.07.24	Thiago Monteiro - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
19.07.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
17.07.24	Thiago Monteiro - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
16.07.24	Federico Coria - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.24	Thiago Monteiro - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLWWL

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