Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2024, Tuesday


	Federico Coria		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.17	1.7	Watch
	2.12	1.79
	2.14	1.75	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.14	1.72	Watch
	2.16	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.9)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
44.7%

Thiago Monteiro
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Coria's form might have worsened.

Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Monteiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18%	0%	82%

Federico Coria - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (41 of 50 users predict this - 82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.35% – 92.65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Monteiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
12.07.24	Federico Coria - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
10.07.24	Federico Coria - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
09.07.24	Federico Coria - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	Federico Coria - Adam Walton	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.06.24	Federico Coria - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
13.07.24	Thiago Monteiro - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
11.07.24	Timofey Skatov - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
09.07.24	Blaz Rola - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	Alexei Popyrin - Thiago Monteiro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
07.02.23	Federico Coria - Thiago Monteiro	2:1
ATP Cincinnati
20.08.20	Federico Coria - Thiago Monteiro	0:2
ATP Challenger
27.10.19	Thiago Monteiro - Federico Coria	2:1

Federico Coria - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide