Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday


	Fabio Fognini		Arthur Fery

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.15	1.62
			Watch
	2.63	1.5
			Watch
			Watch
	2.48	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2)	1.54 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
38.9%

Arthur Fery
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabio Fognini's form might have worsened.

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Fery's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Fabio Fognini - Arthur Fery Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fognini (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fery (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fognini is ranked ATP: 117. Fery is ranked ATP: 479.

Fognini has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fery is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fognini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fery could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Fery will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Fabio Fognini - Christopher Eubanks	Canceled ✺
ATP Stuttgart
10.06.25	Fabio Fognini - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Fabio Fognini - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Oleg Prihodko - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?LLLW
- Arthur Fery
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Arthur Fery - Ugo Blanchet	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.05.25	Arthur Fery - Leonardo Rossi	Rossi L. walkover ✺
18.04.25	Marek Gengel - Arthur Fery	Gengel M. walkover ✺
17.04.25	Viktor Jovic - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WW??W

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