Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Fabio Fognini		Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

	1	2
	2.2	1.62
	2.05	1.72
	2.23	1.59	Watch
	2.87	1.44
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.32	1.59	Watch
	2.23	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.82)	1.61 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
41.4%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabio Fognini's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Moreno De Alboran's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Fabio Fognini - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Moreno De Alboran will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fognini: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fognini (votes: 2 - 50%). Moreno De Alboran (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fognini is ranked ATP: 107. Moreno De Alboran is ranked ATP: 149.

Fognini is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Moreno De Alboran has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Moreno De Alboran may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Fabio Fognini - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Oleg Prihodko - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Neil Oberleitner - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Fabio Fognini - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Challenger
12.05.25	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Hady Habib	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Giulio Zeppieri	2:1 ✺
05.05.25	Raphael Collignon - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWWL

Fabio Fognini - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide