Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca (Spain), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 June 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Docu
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6
Sweden	TV4 Tennis


	Fabio Fognini		Gijs Brouwer

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.8	1.4	Watch
	2.91	1.45
	2.91	1.46
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	2.78	1.46	Watch
	2.85	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.2)	1.42 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
33.1%

Gijs Brouwer
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabio Fognini's form might have worsened.

Gijs Brouwer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gijs Brouwer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gijs Brouwer than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gijs Brouwer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Fabio Fognini - Gijs Brouwer Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Brouwer will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brouwer: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Fognini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brouwer is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
19.06.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
17.06.24	Maxime Janvier - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
14.06.24	Luciano Darderi - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
13.06.24	Matteo Gigante - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
11.06.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW
- Gijs Brouwer
ATP Mallorca
23.06.24	Constant Lestienne - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	Sebastian Fanselow - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
15.06.24	Ugo Humbert - Gijs Brouwer	2:1 ✺
12.06.24	Gijs Brouwer - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLWW

Fabio Fognini - Gijs Brouwer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide