Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Jacob Fearnley		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.44	2.97
	1.45	2.71	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.44	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	2.79 ↑ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
65.9%

Fabio Fognini
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.3%	0%	57.7%

Jacob Fearnley - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Fognini will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fognini: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Fognini (votes: 9 - 56.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Fognini (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Fognini (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Fognini (votes: 11 - 61.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 57. Fognini is ranked ATP: 107.

Fearnley is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fognini's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fearnley is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
21.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Pavel Kotov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWWW
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Neil Oberleitner - Fabio Fognini	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Fabio Fognini - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Rinky Hijikata - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Alexander Ritschard - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Fabio Fognini - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL

Jacob Fearnley - Fabio Fognini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide