Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VALENCIA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Fabio Fognini		Riccardo Bonadio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.3
	1.32	3.2	Watch
	1.33	3.38
	1.34	3.38
	1.36	3
	1.32	3.16	Watch
	1.31	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.42)	3.24 ↑ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
71%

Riccardo Bonadio
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fabio Fognini's performance.

Riccardo Bonadio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Riccardo Bonadio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riccardo Bonadio than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Fabio Fognini - Riccardo Bonadio Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Bonadio will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fognini: 50.6% – 100%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bonadio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fognini is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Metz
10.11.23	Fabio Fognini - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
09.11.23	Fabio Fognini - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	Alexander Bublik - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
07.11.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.11.23	Brandon Nakashima - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWL
- Riccardo Bonadio
ATP Challenger
17.10.23	Francisco Comesana - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Matias Franco Descotte	0:2 ✺
06.10.23	Franco Agamenone - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
04.10.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Riccardo Bonadio	1:2 ✺
02.10.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWW

Fabio Fognini - Riccardo Bonadio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide