Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: METZ (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Alexander Bublik		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.28	3.6	Watch
	1.3	3.87
	1.3	3.87
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.29	3.64	Watch
	1.31	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)	3.61 ↑ (3.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
73.6%

Fabio Fognini
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Alexander Bublik - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bublik is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Paris
02.11.23	Alexander Bublik - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
31.10.23	Alexander Bublik - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
30.10.23	Francis Tiafoe - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
25.10.23	Alexander Bublik - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Antwerp
22.10.23	Arthur Fils - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Metz
07.11.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.11.23	Brandon Nakashima - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
02.11.23	Hugo Grenier - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
01.11.23	Matteo Martineau - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
21.10.23	Fabio Fognini - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWL

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