Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence (France), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aix en Provence (France) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Referee: Vasseneix A. (Fra)


	Facundo Bagnis		Alexander Shevchenko

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	2.04	1.82
	1.89	1.98
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.97	1.78	Watch
	1.81	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.02)	1.9 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Bagnis
50.5%

Alexander Shevchenko
49.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Bagnis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	0%	11.5%

Facundo Bagnis - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Facundo Bagnis will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bagnis is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shevchenko is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shevchenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Facundo Bagnis - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Gregoire Barrere - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
29.04.24	Clement Chidekh - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Andrey Rublev - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Brandon Nakashima - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWLW
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	David Goffin - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
01.05.24	Gregoire Barrere - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
16.04.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?WLWL

Facundo Bagnis - Alexander Shevchenko

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Facundo Bagnis - Alexander Shevchenko Predictions

Preview

Form

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