Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Absolu M. (Fra)


	Brandon Nakashima		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.48	2.7
	1.48	2.8
	1.49	2.8
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.45	2.77	Watch
	1.46	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)	2.74 ↓ (2.87)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
65.1%

Facundo Bagnis
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Facundo Bagnis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Brandon Nakashima - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bagnis will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nakashima: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nakashima is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bagnis is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nakashima will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Madrid
23.04.24	Brandon Nakashima - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Brandon Nakashima - Reda Bennani	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
16.04.24	Brandon Nakashima - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Daniel Evans - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Madrid
23.04.24	Facundo Bagnis - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	David Goffin - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
13.04.24	Facundo Bagnis - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.03.24	Facundo Bagnis - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLW

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