Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday


	Facundo Bagnis		Gerard Campana Lee

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.22	3.8	Watch
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.23	4.25
	1.24	4.25
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.24	3.85	Watch
	1.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)	3.84 ↑ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Bagnis
75.5%

Gerard Campana Lee
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Bagnis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Bagnis's performance.

Gerard Campana Lee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gerard Campana Lee might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Bagnis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerard Campana Lee than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gerard Campana Lee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Facundo Bagnis - Gerard Campana Lee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Bagnis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Campana Lee is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Campana Lee could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bagnis is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.24	Juncheng Shang - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Facundo Bagnis - Michael Mmoh	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Facundo Bagnis - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Alex Molcan - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Edoardo Lavagno - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLW
- Gerard Campana Lee
ATP Challenger
11.03.24	Gerard Campana Lee - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Gerard Campana Lee - Fernando Romboli	2:1 ✺
04.03.24	Gerard Campana Lee - Mariano Kestelboim	Campana Lee G. retired ✺
31.01.24	Gerard Campana Lee - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
30.01.24	Gerard Campana Lee - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WW?LW

Facundo Bagnis - Gerard Campana Lee: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide