Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: SANTIAGO (CHILE) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Alex Molcan		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.05	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.76	2.08
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.84	1.9	Watch
	1.72	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.64)	2 ↓ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Molcan
53.2%

Facundo Bagnis
46.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Molcan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Facundo Bagnis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Alex Molcan - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Molcan will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Bagnis will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molcan: 29% – 96%.

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Preview

Recent matches Molcan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bagnis is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Molcan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Molcan
ATP Santiago
24.02.24	Alex Molcan - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
03.02.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Alex Molcan	Canceled ✺
02.02.24	Dusan Lajovic - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLL?W
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Santiago
24.02.24	Edoardo Lavagno - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
ATP Cordoba
11.02.24	Facundo Bagnis - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Facundo Bagnis - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
09.02.24	Jaume Munar - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
07.02.24	Facundo Bagnis - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.07.19	Alex Molcan - Facundo Bagnis	2:0

Alex Molcan - Facundo Bagnis