Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: FRENCH OPEN (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Facundo Bagnis		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.55
	2.32	1.58
	2.36	1.53
	2.47	1.56
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.72	1.43	Watch
	2.44	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (1.83)	1.54 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Bagnis
39%

Pedro Martinez Portero
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Facundo Bagnis's form might have worsened.

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Martinez Portero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Facundo Bagnis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	0%	61.9%

Facundo Bagnis - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Bagnis will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 13 - 61.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 41.1% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Martinez Portero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Martinez Portero will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Facundo Bagnis - Matteo Gigante	2:1 ✺
22.05.23	Facundo Bagnis - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Facundo Bagnis - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
12.05.23	Filip Misolic - Facundo Bagnis	2:1 ✺
10.05.23	Gerald Melzer - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.23	Dan Added - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
22.05.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.05.23	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
17.05.23	Nino Serdarusic - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
16.05.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Hugo Gaston	Gaston H. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLW?

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